Bear Country! 🐻 What's Next?

Well, it happened. We knew that markets were going to continue their wild ride, and here we are. Stocks slid into bear market territory after a bad May inflation report showed that prices rose at the fastest pace since 1981.(1) It's clear that the Federal Reserve's efforts to cool inflation haven't borne fruit yet, and investors are nervous.

In response to these concerns about inflation, the Fed raised the benchmark interest rate by another 0.75 points, the most aggressive hike in nearly three decades.(2) Their move will hopefully yield relief from rising prices but also means the cost of borrowing will go up, which could dent business and consumer spending.

Should I be worried about markets?

Wild Rides

Markets bucked and sold off again.(1) Should we be worried?

Not necessarily. These things happen pretty regularly, especially when headlines are negative. In fact, you might recall that we kicked off 2022 with a big drop.(2)

So, let’s talk about what’s behind the latest wild market ride. (Scroll to the end if you want to skip right to the reassurance.)

What led to the selloff?

Primarily, economic worries.(1) Worries about new COVID-19 surges. Worries about Ukraine. Worries about the U.S. economy.

A report just came out showing the economy shrank by 1.4% in the first three months of 2022, surprising analysts who expected positive growth of 1.0%.(3)

Appreciating Beauty

Today, a quick overview of what's going on in the financial and economic world.

(Plus a discussion of the hunt for beauty in the mundane.)

Stocks seem to be caught in a volatile pattern as Q1 earnings season heats up. Something surprising could trigger a big move, but it's hard to predict anything with certainty.

A potentially bigger concern: A number of economists think that a recession may be on the horizon.(1)

The latest forecast by the International Monetary Fund predicts that Russia's invasion of Ukraine is going to take a chunk out of global growth this year and next.(2) Fannie Mae is forecasting slowing growth in 2022 and a recession in 2023.3 When multiple forecasts start pointing in the same general direction, it’s worth paying attention. So, what do we do with that information right now?